TD8

...

**a. Before the demographic transition, increases in income per capita always caused an increase in the growth rate of population.**

*Answer***True**: As you found in your lecture, in the pre industrialised world technological progress and land expansion caused temporary increase in income per capita which in turn increased the growth rate of population. As an example see the graph at page 3.

**b. In the contemporary world, an increase in income per capita is associated to a decrease in the growth rate of population.**

*Answer***True**: The graph at page 12 of your lecture notes is self explanatory. Higher average income correlates with lower births per woman. An explanation taken from your lecture notes could be the effects of urbanization.

**c. Decreases in the various measures of fertility came after decreases in mortality.**

*Answer***True**: You can see from the graph at page 11 of your lecture notes that the fertility rate has decreased from 1950. For sure the mortality rate had significantly declined when compared to pre 1900 times. This statement is also consistent with the fact that fertility rates are lower in developed countries where the mortality rate is lower.

**d. The demographic transition is now over for most of the world population.**

*Answer***True**: Quoting from page 11 of your notes "*as of 2017, more than 80% of the world fertility was already at or below replacement rate*".

**e. In the model of the Malthusian regime seen in class, an exogenous increase in the birth rate translates into a lower level of steady-state income per capita.**

*Answer***Maybe**: If this shock implies that is higher, keeping other things fixed, then the statement is true, you can see it from the graph presented here. Clearly, if the shock is such that is lower, then income per capita will be higher.

Figure 1: Shock to

...

This exercise studies a particular example of the model seen in class, with specifications for the primitives of the model. I report them here.

The birth rate is given by:

The mortality rate is:

The production function is:

**a. Discuss equations **

In your lectures you saw that the birth rate depends positively on income per capita, which translates into

As for the technology, the condition you had in the lecture were positive marginal product

**b. Compute the marginal and average productivity of labor. Comment.**

To compute average and marginal productivity, we first need productivity. As usual we divide by the population

Marginal productivity indicates how much more productive we are by increasing

Hence, by adding labour we become less productive. As for average productivity we just have to divide by the number of workers

Nothing special here, as we increase the number of workers the productivity per worker decreases.

**c. Compute the steady-state level of total income, per capita income and population. Show graphically how those steady-state values are determined.**

The law of motion of population in this model is

which is the steady state level of per capita income. You should see now why we assumed

We obtain a positive

In the following figure I represented the equilibrium for specific values of the parameters.

Figure 2: Steady state for Here

*Question:* Can you guess what happens if

Table Of Contents